How many frames of bees at dandelion bloom will likely swarm at black locust?

[twb]

If we see a hive with X number of frames of bees at dandelion bloom, that hive will likely swarm at black locust bloom.  What number is X for you normally? -- I realize the variables are numerous -- Please specify deep or medium frames.

[don2]

I would have to have more specified variables before I would try to attempt an answer. :roll: d2

[Finski]

If we see a hive with X number of frames of bees at dandelion bloom, that hive will likely swarm at black locust bloom.  What number is X for you normally? -- I realize the variables are numerous -- Please specify deep or medium frames.

There is no such formula.

Only way is to look into hives and if you see queen cells, it is a sign of swarming.

Swarming is most affected by bee strain or race, how swarming sensitive they are. Carniolan swarms earlier than Italians.

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